Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 8.269166 9.486851 10.840908 12.461571 14.352971 16.495763 19.114628
2025-02-16 6.451277 7.963219 9.784873 12.153148 15.167890 18.900035 23.905346
2025-02-23 5.433352 7.069782 9.159470 12.046483 15.967248 21.157198 28.631707
2025-03-02 4.717256 6.402956 8.658806 11.933531 16.623998 23.188342 33.226810
2025-03-09 4.150731 5.838739 8.189269 11.749097 17.087697 24.930451 37.574524
2025-03-16 3.674128 5.331133 7.719874 11.474794 17.339805 26.337072 41.549554
2025-03-23 3.480982 5.205186 7.776117 11.967667 18.783016 29.698209 49.056581
2025-03-30 3.234838 4.967751 7.630318 12.115304 19.676294 32.267772 55.596276
2025-04-06 2.976601 4.682028 7.374186 12.045321 20.184333 34.233268 61.336384
2025-04-13 2.739500 4.405129 7.100885 11.908527 20.547223 35.968930 66.879843
2025-04-20 2.624949 4.316780 7.125607 12.278189 21.835565 39.503910 76.362801
2025-04-27 2.504025 4.205038 7.097188 12.545102 22.958167 42.858200 85.992652
2025-05-04 2.424144 4.159523 7.183501 13.038418 24.585011 47.432789 98.999609
2025-05-11 2.228106 3.891321 6.848730 12.706289 24.562162 48.713856 105.108584
2025-05-18 2.083095 3.702518 6.640606 12.593575 24.961175 50.905610 113.615537
2025-05-25 1.951527 3.527109 6.441054 12.474906 25.329173 53.070282 122.413887
2025-06-01 1.823122 3.346981 6.216474 12.281242 25.511774 54.844985 130.561861
2025-06-08 1.695508 3.158235 5.959139 11.993249 25.453124 56.061872 137.511797
2025-06-15 1.667577 3.160836 6.078411 12.510744 27.251465 61.826013 157.326377
2025-06-22 1.602787 3.084950 6.032717 12.665778 28.235440 65.776993 173.009021
2025-06-29 1.520269 2.966874 5.890478 12.592288 28.670780 68.431624 185.563486
2025-07-06 1.437543 2.842240 5.724504 12.448645 28.919346 70.645149 197.264040
2025-07-13 1.407962 2.825940 5.786890 12.836834 30.528493 76.630976 221.497940